BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 172 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-7) Overall Strength =   67.64

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Away    L    79.77  30  33    3 114 (  8-  3) Curry                  12.13    -15.13                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    81.45  31  10    3 198 (  6-  4) Castleton              13.81      7.19                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L *  67.13  26  42    3 111 (  6-  4) Worcester St           -0.51    -15.49                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W *  74.74  31  29    3 147 (  2-  8) Bridgewater St MA       7.10     -5.10                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W *  70.58  24  17    3 190 (  2-  8) Mass Maritime           2.94      4.06                      
  6 10/06/2017 Home    L *  76.85  16  32    3  46 ( 10-  1) Framingham St           9.21    -25.21                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L *  53.49  21  33    3 194 (  2-  7) Westfield St          -14.14      2.14                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L *  68.28  34  55    3  81 (  7-  3) Western Conn St         0.65    -21.65                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L *  65.84   7  24    3  73 (  9-  2) Plymouth St            -1.79    -15.21                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L *  38.23   0  38    3 128 (  4-  6) UMass-Dartmouth       -29.40     -8.60                      
      Averages              67.64  22.0 31.3

Best game:   81.45 = 21 point win over Castleton
Worst game:  38.23 = 38 point loss to UMass-Dartmouth
Team stdev:  13.13